Project Work Plan
Department of Interior USGS GE PES
Fiscal Year 2014 Study Work Plan
Study Title: Wildlife indicators of Greater Everglades restoration progress, climate change, and shifts in ecosystem services
Current Study Start Date: 01 October 2012 Current Study End Date: 30 September 2014, with possibility of future funding tied to progress
Location (Subregions, Counties, Park, or Refuge): Southwest Florida's Greater Everglades, Big Cypress Basin, Ten Thousand Islands NWR, Picayune Strand State Forest, Fakahatchee Strand Preserve State Park
Funding Source: GE PES
Funding History: FY12-13, GE PES
FY14 USGS Funding:
Principal Investigator: Stephanie S. Romañach
Supporting Organizations: USGS is providing financial support; Ten Thousand Islands NWR, Picayune Strand State Forest, Fakahatchee Strand Preserve State Park are providing logistical support
Overview & Objective(s): Some of the major benefits to be provided by a restored Greater Everglades ecosystem are improved ecosystem services such as enhanced groundwater purification, increased recreational activity, and additional and improved wildlife habitat. Bird watching of wading birds and waterfowl is the primary form of wildlife viewing tourism in Florida, generating over $3 billion in revenue annually from 1.5 million people engaging. Many of the interior marshes of the Greater Everglades are well studied as habitat for wading birds. However, little is known about the importance of interior marshes near the coasts of the Greater Everglades for shorebirds. Migrating shorebirds are dependent on some of the interior marshes throughout North America for foraging and resting along their routes. Cheyenne Bottoms, for example, a 40,000 acre interior marsh in Kansas is used by 90% of North America's populations of Wilson's phalarope, long-billed dowitcher, white-rumped sandpiper, Baird's sandpiper, and stilt sandpiper during migration.
As ecosystem restoration progresses in the Greater Everglades, interior marshes near coastal areas may undergo changes in salinity, hydroperiod, and water depth. Interior marshes near the coasts are currently experiencing increases in salinity and more dramatically, marsh habitat has been disappearing to encroaching mangroves. Additionally, potential increases in storm and flooding frequencies could further alter interior coastal marsh habitats. Freshwater flows should increase as a result of ecosystem restoration and lead to improved habitat for birds and other wildlife. Increased freshwater flow will have the added benefit of providing runoff at the coasts, resulting in more natural salinities at the fringing estuarine ecosystem. These changes may mitigate saltwater intrusion into the mainland and will likely improve habitat for endangered species such as manatees and crocodiles, as well as other species of tourism importance such as birds. However, freshwater flows might also alter wildlife usage of these interior marshes if changes in timing or duration of water levels are outside of the range needed, for example, by foraging marsh birds and shorebirds.
Coastal communities that rely on a balance between fresh and salt water can be indicators for ecosystem change. Measuring the abilities of fauna such as shorebirds to successfully forage in the interior marshes of the Greater Everglades can help quantify the impacts from restoration and climate change as well as forecast shifts in ecosystem services benefits.
Specific Relevance to Major Unanswered Questions and Information Needs Identified:
- Research will contribute to the three cited priorities of the FWS Migratory Bird Program:
- Address the loss and degradation of migratory bird habitats.
- Increase and improve scientific information on migratory bird populations.
- Strengthen and expand regional, national, and international partnerships to achieve comprehensive bird conservation.
- This project will help meet some of the DOI science needs for southwest Florida listed as 'Major DOI Responsibilities and Interests' and include understanding:
- How will coastal communities be affected by the simultaneous effects of increased freshwater flows and sea-level rise?
- How do hydrologic and water quality targets relate to the landscape-scale assemblage of habitats needed to support the area's fish and wildlife resources and particularly the wide-ranging species, such as the Florida panther, West Indian manatee, Florida black bear, wood stork, and other migratory and wading birds?
- What are the key ecological indicators and how will they respond to the desired flow regime?
- What are the effects on wildlife within the Ten Thousand Islands NWR?
- What is the ecological response to hydrologic change?
- Products can help with efforts to develop a national strategy for assisting fish and wildlife in adapting to climate change. This process will work toward meeting FWS goals outlined in their draft climate change strategy and 5-year action plan. In particular, this information will assist with the goals and objectives in the draft of Adaptation and Planning and Delivering Landscape Conservation; information can be used in a landscape conservation approach to identify key areas that must be conserved to account for climate change impacts.
- Results will contribute to USGS terrestrial, freshwater, and marine environments ecosystem science programs.
- Results may be able to contribute to plans (multi-agency, multi-organization) to use birds, including shorebirds, as indicators of ecosystem health for the Gulf of Mexico (with results in the form of a report card).
Planned Products for FY14:
- Web interface database for public use (no passwords) showing distributions of bird species locations throughout the SW Florida parks and refuges where we survey
- By late FY14 (summer), analyses of two field seasons of data will begin to begin to provide information to the Monitoring Assessment Group for the purposes of determining water delivery schedules.
- Draft publication to begin with above analyses
This study will be carried out in two parts, coastal freshwater marshes to receive water flow and upland areas that currently are compartmentalized by canals but should have overland water flow with restoration.
The coastal research is being conducted at Ten Thousand Islands National Wildlife Refuge (TTINWR) and in a comparison site in Fakahatchee Strand Preserve State Park (FSPSP). Ten Thousand Islands, located south of Picayune Strand Restoration Project (PSRP; Figure 1), will be receiving overland flow of freshwater as restoration progresses and the canals in Picayune are plugged. Fakahatchee is located adjacent to the east of TTINWR and freshwater flow is not planned to reach the area east of the 'chain of lakes' where the control site is located.
|Figure 1: Map of bird community study region. Green dots represent the 20 survey locations at Ten Thousand Islands National Wildlife Refuge and 20 at Fakahatchee Strand Preserve State Park. [larger image]|
Changes in bird species assemblages may serve as indicators of change in water levels or hydroperiod during sensitive times of year for foraging. In the future, the interior marshes of TTINWR will be impacted from the north by freshwater moving south from Picayune in addition to the currently measured sea level rise and saltwater intrusion. Freshwater flow through TTI from the north may serve to slow the rate of vegetative change (i.e., marsh loss to mangrove encroachment) and help retain the Eleocharis marsh which is an important foraging ground for wading birds and migratory shorebirds in TTI. Freshwater flow may also result in increased water levels and extended hydroperiods that may impact foraging ability of shorebirds and other wading birds in these interior marshes.
This project will monitor bird species assemblage in the interior marsh of TTINWR and FSPSP over time in relation to water levels, salinity, dissolved oxygen, and invertebrate & fish prey. Bird use of the marsh will be monitored including recording numbers (by species) all birds detected, including shorebirds, wading birds, and waterfowl. Water level, salinity, and dissolved oxygen are recorded during each bird survey. Data will be collected before Picayune restoration is complete, during the restoration process, and after.
Bird surveys and environmental data collection began at the start of FY13 and will continue in FY14. More intensive surveying is planned for FY15. During FY14, surveys will be conducted from October through May at TTINWR and FSPSP (Figure 1). Fish and aquatic invertebrate surveys will span the high, mid, and low wet season (December, October, February) and are being carried out by Ian Bartoszek at the Conservancy of Southwest Florida.
In future years, data from this project can be used with three predictive modeling efforts. The first of these modeling approaches will be to link field observations to species distribution models (e.g., climate envelope models linked with habitat). Models of climate linked with habitat will allow us to project into the future to show where these species might occur in the future to assist with land and habitat management and planning. The second modeling approach will be in using salinity and water level components of the dynamic Flow and Transport in a Linked Overland/Aquifer Density Dependent System (FTLOADDS) model coupled with a habitat data layer to create a Habitat Suitability Index model for shorebirds and other wading birds. The third modeling approach that will be explored is to use the numerical hydrologic and salinity model developed for TTINWR by the National Wetlands Research Center and the University of Louisiana, Lafayette. This model can help determine future hydrologic patterns and salinities given different upstream freshwater release scenarios. Exploring the use of these models tied to bird species habitat, water level, and water salinity requirements could be useful for wildlife and land management planning.
The upland research is being conducted in Picayune Strand Restoration Project. The PSRP is in the process of restoring pre-drainage hydrology to this portion of the Greater Everglades ecosystem. Wildlife species and their prey species are good indicators of ecosystem change and restoration, especially restoration of a more natural hydrology as is planned for PSRP. Restoration of this area will provide increased habitat for important Everglades species but is also expected to restore connectivity within and between natural areas adjacent to the project areas such as FSPSP and Florida Panther NWR.
This project will monitor bird species assemblages in PSRP over time in relation to water levels and invertebrate prey. Bird use of the marsh will be monitored including recording numbers (by species) all birds detected at each of 22 well locations in PSRP (Figure 2). Data will be collected before Picayune restoration is complete, during the restoration process, and after.
|Figure 2: Bird monitoring sites at PSRP. [larger image]|
Bird surveys and environmental data collection began at the start of FY13, in early October and will continue through the wet and into the dry season. Surveys are conducted every four weeks. Fish and aquatic invertebrate surveys will be conducted quarterly, where there is standing water. Canal drainage limits the aquatic sampling sites as early as the mid wet season. Terrestrial invertebrate surveys will be conducted at all 22 well sites (using both sweep net and pitfall trap methods) quarterly.
This study can provide information on the progress of these indicators of ecosystem restoration over a period of years to include wet years and dry years, as well as over a spatial extent encompassing a variety of habitat types. This study is designed to capture patterns in fish & invertebrate prey communities that reflect hydrologic restoration including species composition, relative abundance or and/or concentration in response to hydrologic change. In future years, wading bird nesting success and colony location could be documented as restoration efforts continue and will be used to assess potential success of hydrologic restoration.
Data from both coastal and upland projects will be made available via a web interface for land managers, decision makers, scientists, and other interested parties. The database was developed by Joint Ecosystem Modeling and will include data from many investigators throughout the Greater Everglades. The map interface allows users to click on icons to explore the data housed. http://www.jem.gov/Data
Task Leaders: Stephanie S. Romañach
Task priority: bird surveys and fish & invertebrate sampling
Task Personnel: David Tafoya, USGS; Kelsey Chambers, USGS; Matthew Hanson, USGS; Ian Bartoszek, Conservancy of Southwest Florida